Alabama
W-L: (24-11) PR = 97.1321Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 82-73 1106 A McNeese SL (27- 6, 95.1) 64-44 1110 A Alcorn St SWAC A (16-14, 92.5) 92-39 1117 A Alabama A&M SWAC (19-11, 93.5) 66-43 1119 A Samford SO (14-19, 92.8) 84-45 1124 A Harvard IVY (20-12, 95.2) 80-60 1126 A Minnesota B10 (24-10, 97.3) 63-58 1201 A Kennesaw St CUSA (10-17, 93.1) 79-65 1204 A Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 72-48 1207 A LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 75-38 1214 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-19, 91.9) 62-51 1216 A Sam Houston CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 73-36 1217 A Tulane AME (11-20, 93.5) 81-52 1221 A Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 77-59 101 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 57-83 104 A Arkansas SEC (12-20, 94.7) 77-48 108 A Kentucky SEC (25-11, 97.3) 64-51 112 A Missouri SEC M (17-17, 95.6) 74-63 115 H Auburn SEC A (15-17, 95.6) 54-58 118 H Tennessee SEC (15-14, 96.6) 59-70 125 A Miss St SEC M (18-13, 96.0) 85-78 129 A Georgia SEC (22-10, 96.8) 68-53 201 H LSU SEC (29- 6, 98.2) 63-** 205 A Ole Miss SEC (24-12, 97.1) 64-63 208 H Texas A&M SEC T (14-13, 96.3) 69-72 215 H Oklahoma SEC O (26- 8, 97.8) 71-79 219 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 57-76 222 A Florida SEC (18-15, 95.8) 76-71 226 H Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) 60-85 301 H Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 65-72 304 A Missouri SEC M (17-17, 95.6) 65-48 305 A Tennessee SEC (15-14, 96.6) 76-64 306 H Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 60-83 321 A Rhode Island A10 (28- 5, 96.1) 68-55 323 H Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 68-69
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Stetson 82-73 9 3 0.00
1106 A McNeese 64-44 20 2 0.00
1110 A Alcorn St 92-39 53 5 0.00
1117 A Alabama A&M 66-43 23 4 0.00
1119 A Samford 84-45 39 4 0.00
1124 A Harvard 80-60 20 2 0.05
1126 A Minnesota 63-58 5 0 + 2.14
1201 A Kennesaw St 79-65 14 4 0.00
1204 A Clemson 72-48 24 1 0.96
1207 A LA-Monroe 75-38 37 3 0.00
1214 A Jackson St 62-51 11 5 0.00
1216 A Sam Houston 73-36 37 3 0.00
1217 A Tulane 81-52 29 4 0.00
1221 A Troy 77-59 18 2 0.26
101 H So Carolina 57-83 -26 -2 0.00
104 A Arkansas 77-48 29 2 0.00
108 A Kentucky 64-51 13 0 + 2.17
112 A Missouri 74-63 11 1 0.50
115 H Auburn 54-58 -4 2 - -3.53
118 H Tennessee 59-70 -11 1 - -2.58
125 A Miss St 85-78 7 1 0.84
129 A Georgia 68-53 15 0 1.65
201 H LSU 63-** -40 -1 -0.95
205 A Ole Miss 64-63 1 0 0.95
208 H Texas A&M 69-72 -3 1 - -2.82
215 H Oklahoma 71-79 -8 -1 -1.39
219 H So Carolina 57-76 -19 -2 0.00
222 A Florida 76-71 5 1 0.66
226 H Vanderbilt 60-85 -25 -1 -1.09
301 H Texas 65-72 -7 -2 -0.05
304 A Missouri 65-48 17 1 0.50
305 A Tennessee 76-64 12 1 1.44
306 H Texas 60-83 -23 -2 -0.05
321 A Rhode Island 68-55 13 1 0.95
323 H Louisville 68-69 -1 0 -0.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 115 H Auburn 54-58 -4 2 - -3.53 118 H Tennessee 59-70 -11 1 - -2.58 208 H Texas A&M 69-72 -3 1 - -2.82 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1126 A Minnesota 63-58 5 0 + 2.14 108 A Kentucky 64-51 13 0 + 2.17 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 82-73 -5.97 4.99 0.01 0.87 8.68
3 A McNeese (27- 6, 95.1) 64-44 -4.79 6.17 0.01 0.87 10.72
3 A Alcorn St (16-14, 92.5) 92-39 -7.39 3.57 0.01 0.87 6.20
3 A Alabama A&M (19-11, 93.5) 66-43 -6.36 4.60 0.01 0.87 8.00
3 A Samford (14-19, 92.8) 84-45 -7.08 3.88 0.01 0.87 6.74
3 A Harvard (20-12, 95.2) 80-60 -4.73 6.23 0.01 0.87 10.82
3 A Minnesota (24-10, 97.3) 63-58 -2.64 8.32 0.01 0.87 14.45
3 A Kennesaw St (10-17, 93.1) 79-65 -6.81 4.15 0.01 0.87 7.21
3 A Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 72-48 -3.82 7.14 0.01 0.87 12.40
3 A LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 75-38 -5.92 5.04 0.01 0.87 8.75
3 A Jackson St (11-19, 91.9) 62-51 -7.97 2.99 0.01 0.87 5.20
3 A Sam Houston (16-13, 94.2) 73-36 -5.73 5.23 0.01 0.87 9.09
3 A Tulane (11-20, 93.5) 81-52 -6.36 4.60 0.01 0.87 7.99
3 A Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 77-59 -4.52 6.44 0.01 0.87 11.19
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 57-83 -0.74 10.22 -0.01 0.87 -0.32
3 A Arkansas (12-20, 94.7) 77-48 -5.16 5.80 0.01 0.87 10.08
3 A Kentucky (25-11, 97.3) 64-51 -2.61 8.36 0.01 0.87 14.51
3 A Missouri (17-17, 95.6) 74-63 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.87 11.61
3 H Auburn (15-17, 95.6) 54-58 -4.29 6.67 -0.01 0.87 -1.86
3 H Tennessee (15-14, 96.6) 59-70 -3.34 7.62 -0.01 0.87 -1.45
3 A Miss St (18-13, 96.0) 85-78 -3.94 7.02 0.01 0.87 12.20
3 A Georgia (22-10, 96.8) 68-53 -3.13 7.83 0.01 0.87 13.60
3 H LSU (29- 6, 98.2) 63-** -1.71 9.25 -0.01 0.87 -0.75
3 A Ole Miss (24-12, 97.1) 64-63 -2.82 8.14 0.01 0.87 14.13
3 H Texas A&M (14-13, 96.3) 69-72 -3.58 7.38 -0.01 0.87 -1.55
3 H Oklahoma (26- 8, 97.8) 71-79 -2.14 8.82 -0.01 0.87 -0.93
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 57-76 -0.74 10.22 -0.01 0.87 -0.32
3 A Florida (18-15, 95.8) 76-71 -4.11 6.85 0.01 0.87 11.89
3 H Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) 60-85 -1.85 9.11 -0.01 0.87 -0.81
3 H Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 65-72 -0.81 10.15 -0.01 0.87 -0.35
3 A Missouri (17-17, 95.6) 65-48 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.87 11.61
3 A Tennessee (15-14, 96.6) 76-64 -3.34 7.62 0.01 0.87 13.23
3 H Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 60-83 -0.81 10.15 -0.01 0.87 -0.35
3 A Rhode Island (28- 5, 96.1) 68-55 -3.83 7.13 0.01 0.87 12.38
3 H Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 68-69 -2.37 8.59 -0.01 0.87 -1.03
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242.93
|
winning pts = 252.6817 losing points = -9.7489
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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